Energy Forecasting and Modeling Group

The Energy Forecasting and Modeling Group conducts analysis relating to energy economics, energy system planning, risk and uncertainty modeling, and energy infrastructure planning.

Brian Bush
Paul Denholm
Victor Diakov
Aron Dobos
Easan Drury
Pam Lee-Bull
Peter Lilienthal
James Milford
Sean Ong
Walter Short
Patrick Sullivan
Laura Vimmerstedt

Brian W Bush Principal Strategic Analyst Analysis or applications expertise Energy and infrastructure modeling, simulation, and analysis High performance computing Software architecture, design, implementation, and testing Discrete-event and continuous simulation Statistical analysis Geographic information systems Primary research interests Energy modeling methodologies Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for multidisciplinary models and simulations, including understanding the limits of predictability Graph and network analysis Approximate reasoning Knowledge engineering Mining and visualization of massive data sets More information on Brian W Bush Paul Denholm Senior Analyst Analysis expertise Modeling of electric power systems, including interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies Environmental life-cycle analysis Analysis of energy storage systems utilized with conventional and renewable generation Primary research interests Effects of large-scale renewable energy deployment in electric power systems Renewable energy enabling technologies including energy storage and long distance transmission More information on Paul Denholm Victor Diakov Senior Strategic Analyst Analysis expertise Greenhouse gas emissions mitigation Energy and power systems Natural gas utilization Chemical reaction engineering Materials science Business experience Market analysis Primary research interests Renewable energy carriers Hydrogen production and delivery pathways analysis and modeling More information on Victor Diakov Aron Dobos Programming Engineer Analysis expertise Power systems economics Data structures and algorithms Generation scheduling optimization Fluent in Hungarian; functional in German and Spanish Primary research interests Solar Advisor Model (SAM) tool More information on Aron Dobos Easan Drury Post-doctoral Research Fellow Analysis expertise Modeling the U.S. photovoltaics (PV) market Quantifying the impacts of state and federal incentives on PV adoption Primary research interests Developing market penetration models for renewable technologies Analyzing large-scale renewable energy deployment More information on Easan Drury Pam Lee-Bull Administrative Support Analysis expertise Work for others (WFO) support Finance/budget support Primary research interests Federal energy management Energy forecasting and modeling More information on Pam Lee-Bull Peter Lilienthal Senior Economist Analysis expertise Lead analyst for NREL's International and Village Power Program Developer of NREL's Village Power Optimization Software, HOMER, and ViPOR Technical expertise in utility modeling and the economic and financial analysis of small power projects Primary research interests Expert in the field of renewable energy and conservation for 25 years Project development of independent power projects Consulting to industry and regulators More information on Peter Lilienthal James Milford Energy Analyst Analysis expertise Modeling interaction of renewable and conventional energy technologies in electric power systems Environmental life-cycle analysis Energy storage systems Primary research interests Utility-rated renewable energy deployment Renewable energy storage and long distance transmission More information on James Milford Sean Ong Energy Analyst Analysis expertise Analysis and modeling of photovoltaic systems Primary research interests Potential of photovoltaics in national energy markets More information on Sean Ong Walter Short Principal Policy Analyst and Group Manager Analysis expertise Energy market models, including National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and Wind Deployment Systems Model (WinDS) Financial models Optimization Primary research interests Potential of renewables in national energy markets Impact of policies on the market introduction of renewable More information on Walter Short Patrick Sullivan Energy Analyst Analysis expertise Linear programming with General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS) System equilibrium modeling in Matlab, including treatment of chemical species with Cantera Primary research interests Development of detailed market penetration models for renewables More information on Patrick Sullivan Laura Vimmerstedt Senior Environmental Analyst Analysis expertise Air-quality regulatory implications for energy technologies Primary research interests Research and analysis of energy technologies, environmental effects, and markets More information on Laura Vimmerstedt

If you have questions about our programs or would like to contact our staff, please email Kalia Kehoe.

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